Philosophy of Probability

Everettian chance in no uncertain terms featured image

Everettian chance in no uncertain terms

We unify Everettian accounts of chance by focusing on the conditions under which branches are isolated.

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Jer Steeger
Hypothetical frequencies as approximations featured image

Hypothetical frequencies as approximations

Hypothetical frequencies are great approximations (inexact descriptions of a target) but bad idealizations (separate models that bear analogies to the target).

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Jer Steeger
An accuracy-based approach to quantum conditionalization featured image

An accuracy-based approach to quantum conditionalization

A core tenet of Bayesian epistemology is that rational agents update by conditionalization. Accuracy arguments in favour of this norm are well-known. Meanwhile, scholars working in …

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Alexander Meehan
One world is (probably) just as good as many featured image

One world is (probably) just as good as many

I argue that we can use symmetries of the quantum state space to derive chance values in the de Broglie–Bohm pilot-wave theory.

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Jer Steeger
Two Forms of Inconsistency in Quantum Foundations featured image

Two Forms of Inconsistency in Quantum Foundations

Recently, there has been some discussion of how Dutch Book arguments might be used to demonstrate the rational incoherence of certain hidden variable models of quantum theory. In …

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Jer Steeger
Probabilism for stochastic theories featured image

Probabilism for stochastic theories

I defend an analog of probabilism that characterizes rationally coherent estimates for chances. Specifically, I demonstrate the following accuracy-dominance result for stochastic …

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Jer Steeger